<span>青海地区环境的地震灾害信息预测模型研究</span>-华南地震

文章信息/Info

Title:: Research on Earthquake Disaster Information Prediction Model of Qinghai Region

Author(s):: WEISAI Lajia; XIN Qiannan; SUI Jia; SUN Ying; Qinghai institute of geological environment monitoring，Xining 810000，China

Keywords:: Qinghai region; Geological environment; Earthquake disaster; Information prediction; Prediction model

摘要:: 青海地区为中国的地震高发地带，使用传统预测方法对该地区的地震灾害进行预测，存在着预测准确率低的问题，为此设计地震灾害信息优化预测模型。分析青海地区地质环境结构特点，划分地震带预测区域，同时构建地震灾害数据库，采集地震信息数据，对采集到的数据进行优化处理，计算数据匹配度；在此基础上综合预测的地震灾害发生概率、强度、时间和地点等数据，得到地震灾害预测结果。为了检验设计的地震灾害信息预测模型的性能，设计模拟测试实验。实验结果表明：与传统预测模型相比，设计的地震灾害信息预测模型的预测准确率提高了11.3%，能够有效实现地震灾害信息的预测。

Abstract:: Qinghai area is a high earthquake occurrence area in China，and the traditional prediction method used to predict the earthquake disaster in this area has the problem of low prediction accuracy. Therefore，an optimized prediction model for earthquake disaster information is designed. The paper analyzes the geological environment structure characteristics of Qinghai area，divides the prediction area of seismic zone，constructs the seismic disaster database，collects the seismic information data，optimizes and processes the collected data，and calculates the data matching degree. On this basis，the paper comprehensively predicts the earthquake disaster occurrence probability，intensity，time and location data，and obtains the earthquake disaster prediction results. In order to test the performance of the designed earthquake disaster information prediction model，a simulation test was designed. The experimental results show that compared with the traditional prediction model，the prediction accuracy of the designed earthquake disaster information prediction model is improved by 11.3%，which can effectively realize the prediction of earthquake disaster information.